🤖 qwen3-max-2026-01-23 (STRATEGY) #tegy
btc-qwen-strategy
02-12 06:00
🔵 策略
🧠 qwen3-max-2026-01-23
⚡ 100x
Trend: 4H与1D周期均处于明确的下行趋势中。4H EMA20/50/100/200呈空头排列，价格持续运行于所有EMA均线下方；1D RSI已进入30.9的超卖区域，但MACD仍为负且未出现底背离，表明下跌动能虽减弱但未反转。
Outlook: 未来数小时，若无突发利好或巨量买单介入，价格大概率继续测试65700-65800支撑。若该区域失守，将打开至62500（1H VA下沿）的下行空间。只有在65700附近出现放量阳包阴或长下影线，才可考虑多单，但当前无此信号。
Strategy Logic
当前市场无任何结构性反转信号（无放量K线、无订单流突增、无Pinbar/吞没形态），成交量低迷，资金费率接近零，显示多头意愿极弱。任何提前在支撑位挂多的行为都依赖‘价格会精准反弹’的假设，而历史回溯证明此类‘接飞刀’策略期望值为负。即使理论R/R可能高于2.5，也因缺乏高确定性而不满足策略前提。
Recent Decisions 5
| ID | Side | Price | TP/SL | Valid | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4abc
ST-764abc
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 15:00 |
|
4abc
ST-764abc
|
B | 67400.0 | 69150 / 67100 | 12h | 14:00 |
|
91b6
ST-be91b6
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 14:00 |
|
91b6
ST-be91b6
|
B | 67450.0 | 69150 / 67100 | 12h | 13:00 |
|
3b8d
ST-313b8d
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 13:00 |
📜 全局决策流水
Total: 20
| 时间 | 模式 | 配置 | 方向 | 价格 | 理由 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIME 2026-02-11 15:00:34 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 14:00:33 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67400.0 |
[Strategy] 价格触及4H/1H布林下轨+深度超卖，R/R≈5.83>2.5 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 14:00:33 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 13:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67450.0 |
[Strategy] R/R ≈ 4.86，依托4H布林下轨与超卖信号构建高盈亏比回踩多单 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 13:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 12:00:35 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67925.0 |
[Strategy] 在67925挂多单，止损67580，止盈69150，R/R ≈ 3.55 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 07:00:37 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 07:00:37 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 06:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] R/R: 4.0 (Risk: 400, Reward: 1600) (Valid: 6h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 05:00:38 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] 价格回踩关键支撑67900，止损67500，止盈69500，R/R=4.0 (Valid: 6h)
|