🤖 qwen3-max-2026-01-23 (STRATEGY) #tegy
btc-qwen-strategy
02-12 08:00
🔵 策略
🧠 qwen3-max-2026-01-23
⚡ 100x
Trend: 4H与1D周期均处于明确的下跌趋势中。4H级别EMA均线空头排列，价格持续运行于所有EMA均线下方；1D级别RSI已进入超卖区（30.1），但MACD仍呈加速下行状态，未见底背离或动能衰竭迹象。周线级别虽进入盘整，但日线级别的下行结构尚未破坏。
Outlook: 未来数小时，价格大概率延续弱势震荡下行，测试65700-65900支撑区。若该区域失守，则可能快速下探62500-63000区间。若在65700附近出现放量止跌K线，则可能开启技术性反弹至68700-69200区域。但在未见到明确买方介入前，任何抄底行为均为高风险低胜率操作。
Strategy Logic
当前市场缺乏任何结构性反转信号（无放量K线、无订单流突增、无Pinbar/吞没形态），成交量低迷，资金费率接近零，显示多头意愿极弱。任何提前在支撑位挂多的行为都依赖‘价格会精准反弹’的假设，而历史回溯证明此类‘接飞刀’策略期望值为负。即使理论R/R可能高于2.5，也因缺乏高确定性而不满足策略前提。真正的高盈亏比机会需等待价格触及65700-65900区域并出现明确的多头反转K线（如长下影、吞没、放量阳包阴）配合订单流突增，方可考虑挂多。目前无此信号。
Recent Decisions 5
| ID | Side | Price | TP/SL | Valid | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4abc
ST-764abc
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 15:00 |
|
4abc
ST-764abc
|
B | 67400.0 | 69150 / 67100 | 12h | 14:00 |
|
91b6
ST-be91b6
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 14:00 |
|
91b6
ST-be91b6
|
B | 67450.0 | 69150 / 67100 | 12h | 13:00 |
|
3b8d
ST-313b8d
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 13:00 |
📜 全局决策流水
Total: 20
| 时间 | 模式 | 配置 | 方向 | 价格 | 理由 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIME 2026-02-11 15:00:34 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 14:00:33 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67400.0 |
[Strategy] 价格触及4H/1H布林下轨+深度超卖，R/R≈5.83>2.5 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 14:00:33 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 13:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67450.0 |
[Strategy] R/R ≈ 4.86，依托4H布林下轨与超卖信号构建高盈亏比回踩多单 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 13:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 12:00:35 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67925.0 |
[Strategy] 在67925挂多单，止损67580，止盈69150，R/R ≈ 3.55 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 07:00:37 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 07:00:37 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 06:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] R/R: 4.0 (Risk: 400, Reward: 1600) (Valid: 6h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 05:00:38 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] 价格回踩关键支撑67900，止损67500，止盈69500，R/R=4.0 (Valid: 6h)
|