🤖 qwen3-max-2026-01-23 (STRATEGY) #tegy
btc-qwen-strategy
02-11 20:00
🔵 策略
🧠 qwen3-max-2026-01-23
⚡ 100x
Trend: 4H与1D周期均处于明确的下跌趋势中。价格持续运行于所有关键EMA均线下方，且MACD柱状图持续扩大负值，表明空头动能仍在释放。尽管RSI/KDJ进入超卖区域，但未出现背离或结构性反转信号，市场仍处于‘下跌末期但未确认反转’的状态。
Outlook: 未来数小时，价格大概率继续在66300-67100区间震荡，测试下方流动性并等待宏观情绪或外部催化剂。若跌破66300且放量，则可能加速下探65000甚至60430。若在66300-66500区域出现Pinbar、看涨吞没并伴随成交量放大，则可考虑多单。否则，应保持观望。
Strategy Logic
当前缺乏高确定性入场信号。任何在现价附近挂多单的行为都属于‘接飞刀’，因无订单流确认、无K线反转形态、且成交量低迷。若强行构建多单，止损需设于66300下方以规避流动性扫荡，而合理止盈仅能看至69150，理论R/R = (69150 - 66800) / (66800 - 66300) ≈ 2350 / 500 = 4.7 > 2.5，但该计算建立在‘价格会立即反转’的错误假设上。实际胜率极低，期望值为负。因此，不满足高确定性高盈亏比原则。
Recent Decisions 5
| ID | Side | Price | TP/SL | Valid | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4abc
ST-764abc
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 15:00 |
|
4abc
ST-764abc
|
B | 67400.0 | 69150 / 67100 | 12h | 14:00 |
|
91b6
ST-be91b6
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 14:00 |
|
91b6
ST-be91b6
|
B | 67450.0 | 69150 / 67100 | 12h | 13:00 |
|
3b8d
ST-313b8d
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 13:00 |
📜 全局决策流水
Total: 20
| 时间 | 模式 | 配置 | 方向 | 价格 | 理由 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIME 2026-02-11 15:00:34 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 14:00:33 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67400.0 |
[Strategy] 价格触及4H/1H布林下轨+深度超卖，R/R≈5.83>2.5 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 14:00:33 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 13:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67450.0 |
[Strategy] R/R ≈ 4.86，依托4H布林下轨与超卖信号构建高盈亏比回踩多单 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 13:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 12:00:35 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67925.0 |
[Strategy] 在67925挂多单，止损67580，止盈69150，R/R ≈ 3.55 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 07:00:37 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 07:00:37 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 06:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] R/R: 4.0 (Risk: 400, Reward: 1600) (Valid: 6h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 05:00:38 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] 价格回踩关键支撑67900，止损67500，止盈69500，R/R=4.0 (Valid: 6h)
|