🤖 qwen3-max-2026-01-23 (STRATEGY) #tegy
btc-qwen-strategy
02-12 01:00
🔵 策略
🧠 qwen3-max-2026-01-23
⚡ 100x
Trend: 4H与1D周期均处于明确的下行趋势中。价格持续运行在所有关键EMA均线下方，且MACD柱状图持续扩大负值，表明空头动能强劲。尽管1W周期显示为盘整，但这是对前期大幅下跌的修正，而非趋势反转。
Outlook: 未来数小时内，价格大概率维持在65700-66400区间内弱势震荡，等待下一轮驱动。若跌破65718低点，则可能加速下探65000甚至62571。若要出现可信的多头机会，需等待价格在关键支撑区（如65000或62571）形成放量长下影K线或阳包阴等明确反转信号。
Strategy Logic
当前市场缺乏任何结构性反转信号（无放量K线、无订单流突增、无吞没或Pinbar形态），成交量低迷，资金费率为正但极低，表明多头意愿薄弱。任何在现价附近挂多的行为都属于高风险‘接飞刀’。虽然理论上可在65900挂多、止损65500、止盈68761得出R/R≈(2861)/(400)≈7.15，但该假设建立在‘价格会立即在支撑位反转’的错误前提上。实际更可能继续下行扫荡65000下方流动性，或横盘消耗时间。因此，不满足高确定性+高盈亏比的双重标准。
Recent Decisions 5
| ID | Side | Price | TP/SL | Valid | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4abc
ST-764abc
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 15:00 |
|
4abc
ST-764abc
|
B | 67400.0 | 69150 / 67100 | 12h | 14:00 |
|
91b6
ST-be91b6
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 14:00 |
|
91b6
ST-be91b6
|
B | 67450.0 | 69150 / 67100 | 12h | 13:00 |
|
3b8d
ST-313b8d
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 13:00 |
📜 全局决策流水
Total: 20
| 时间 | 模式 | 配置 | 方向 | 价格 | 理由 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIME 2026-02-11 15:00:34 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 14:00:33 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67400.0 |
[Strategy] 价格触及4H/1H布林下轨+深度超卖，R/R≈5.83>2.5 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 14:00:33 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 13:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67450.0 |
[Strategy] R/R ≈ 4.86，依托4H布林下轨与超卖信号构建高盈亏比回踩多单 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 13:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 12:00:35 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67925.0 |
[Strategy] 在67925挂多单，止损67580，止盈69150，R/R ≈ 3.55 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 07:00:37 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 07:00:37 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 06:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] R/R: 4.0 (Risk: 400, Reward: 1600) (Valid: 6h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 05:00:38 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] 价格回踩关键支撑67900，止损67500，止盈69500，R/R=4.0 (Valid: 6h)
|