🤖 qwen3-max-2026-01-23 (STRATEGY) #tegy
btc-qwen-strategy
02-11 12:00
🔵 策略
🧠 qwen3-max-2026-01-23
⚡ 100x
Trend: 4H与1D周期均处于明确的下跌趋势中。价格持续运行在所有关键EMA均线下方，且MACD柱状图维持负值，表明空头主导市场。尽管短期RSI/KDJ进入超卖区，但未出现背离或结构反转信号，不足以构成趋势逆转的依据。
Outlook: 未来12小时内，价格大概率继续测试67900-68000支撑区。若成交量配合放大并出现长下影K线，则可能触发技术性反弹，目标69150。若直接跌破67589，则可能加速下探日线布林带下轨60628，但当前概率较低。
Strategy Logic
当前价格（68148）贴近1H布林带下轨，若能下探至67900-67950区域，将触及短期需求区与波动率收缩后的潜在反弹点。在此挂多单，止损可设于67580（略低于4H布林带下轨），止盈目标设于69150（1H POC与EMA20交汇处），理论R/R约为(69150-67925)/(67925-67580) ≈ 1225/345 ≈ 3.55 > 2.5，满足高盈亏比要求。失效条件：若价格在12小时内未能触及67950，则表明下行动能不足，结构可能转为横盘，挂单应自动失效。
Recent Decisions 5
| ID | Side | Price | TP/SL | Valid | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3b8d
ST-313b8d
|
B | 67925.0 | 69150 / 67580 | 12h | 12:00 |
|
b000
ST-1db000
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 07:00 |
|
cc39
ST-c8cc39
|
C | 0.0 | - | - | 07:00 |
|
b000
ST-1db000
|
B | 67900.0 | 69500 / 67500 | 6h | 06:00 |
|
cc39
ST-c8cc39
|
B | 67900.0 | 69500 / 67500 | 6h | 05:00 |
📜 全局决策流水
Total: 15
| 时间 | 模式 | 配置 | 方向 | 价格 | 理由 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIME 2026-02-11 12:00:35 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67925.0 |
[Strategy] 在67925挂多单，止损67580，止盈69150，R/R ≈ 3.55 (Valid: 12h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 07:00:37 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 07:00:37 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 06:00:32 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] R/R: 4.0 (Risk: 400, Reward: 1600) (Valid: 6h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 05:00:38 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] 价格回踩关键支撑67900，止损67500，止盈69500，R/R=4.0 (Valid: 6h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 05:00:38 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 05:00:38 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 05:00:38 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE CANCEL | PRICE 0.0 |
[Strategy] Cancel
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 04:00:31 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] R/R: 4.0 (Risk: 400, Reward: 1600) (Valid: 6h)
|
| TIME 2026-02-11 03:00:35 | MODE STRATEGY |
CONFIG
btc-qwen-strategy
|
SIDE BUY | PRICE 67900.0 |
[Strategy] 挂单67900买入，止损67500（风险400点），目标69500（回报1600点），R/R=4.0 > 2.5，符合高盈亏比要求。 (Valid: 6h)
|